Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Plymouth 3-0 Accrington
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
We said: Accrington Stanley 1-2 Derby County
It is only a matter of time until Derby's big-name signings start clicking together, and they should be just too much for Accrington, but it certainly will not be easy. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Derby County |
| 28.92% | 25.75% | 45.32% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 52.6% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
