Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.