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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Gillingham |
39.38% | 26% | 34.61% |
Both teams to score 54.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.64% | 50.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.7% | 72.3% |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.87% | 25.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.16% | 59.83% |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.15% | 27.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.55% | 63.45% |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.38% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.95% 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 3.37% 0-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |