League One

League One | Gameweek 45

Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
3 - 2
Reading

Bennett (5'), Carayol (11'), Kamwa (42')
Bennett (75'), Ola-Adebomi (90+7')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Wing (34'), Smith (59' pen.)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Reading
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Reading

While the home side have struggled in this fixture recently, winning just one of the last six meetings between the two, with Reading's safety already guaranteed and Burton's potential safety on the line, we believe Burton will use the extra motivation to pick up a needed point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Reading
28.15% ( -0.01)	24.24% ( 0)	47.6% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.99% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.82% (

-0.01)

45.18% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.47% (

-0.01)

67.53% (

0.01)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.44% (

-0.01)

29.56% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.42% (

-0.01)

65.59% (

0.01)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.91% (

-0)

19.09% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.3% (

-0)

50.71% (

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 28.15%

Reading 47.6%

Draw 24.24%

Burton Albion	Draw	Reading
2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 3.29% Total : 28.15%	1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.24%	1-2 @ 9.43% 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.21% 0-3 @ 4.27% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 1.77% 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 47.6%