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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Reading logo

Burton Albion
3 - 2
Reading

Bennett (5'), Carayol (11'), Kamwa (42')
Bennett (75'), Ola-Adebomi (90+7')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Wing (34'), Smith (59' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Reading
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Reading

While the home side have struggled in this fixture recently, winning just one of the last six meetings between the two, with Reading's safety already guaranteed and Burton's potential safety on the line, we believe Burton will use the extra motivation to pick up a needed point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawReading
28.15% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 24.24% (0.0010000000000012 0) 47.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 56.99% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)45.18% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)67.53% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)29.56% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)65.59% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.09% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.71% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 28.15%
    Reading 47.6%
    Draw 24.24%
Burton AlbionDrawReading
2-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.7%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 28.15%
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 5.21%
0-3 @ 4.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.16%
0-4 @ 1.77%
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 47.6%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Reading

Burton Albion
0.0%
Draw
22.2%
Reading
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Reading
0-0
Burton Albion
McIntyre (44')
Baah (45+12'), Hamer (50'), Seddon (66'), Powell (90+2')
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-3
Reading
Akins (51' pen.)
Turner (29'), Buxton (38'), McFadzean (86')
Dadi Bodvarsson (20', 68'), Gunter (57')
Moore (27'), Dadi Bodvarsson (68'), Ilori (71')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
May 7, 2017 12pm
Burton Albion
2-4
Reading
Turner (69'), Woodrow (72')
Irvine (77')
Mendes (3'), Obita (21'), Kermorgant (64'), Grabban (85')
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
Reading
3-0
Burton Albion
Samuel (22'), Williams (29'), Brayford (77' og.)
Samuel (63'), McCleary (64'), McShane (93')

Turner (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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