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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Reading |
28.15% ( -0.01) | 24.24% ( 0) | 47.6% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.99% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.82% ( -0.01) | 45.18% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.47% ( -0.01) | 67.53% ( 0.01) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.44% ( -0.01) | 29.56% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.42% ( -0.01) | 65.59% ( 0.01) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.91% ( -0) | 19.09% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.3% ( -0) | 50.71% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Reading |
2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 3.29% Total : 28.15% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.21% 0-3 @ 4.27% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 1.77% 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 47.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |