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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Reading logo

Burton Albion
3 - 2
Reading

Bennett (5'), Carayol (11'), Kamwa (42')
Bennett (75'), Ola-Adebomi (90+7')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Wing (34'), Smith (59' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Reading
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Reading

While the home side have struggled in this fixture recently, winning just one of the last six meetings between the two, with Reading's safety already guaranteed and Burton's potential safety on the line, we believe Burton will use the extra motivation to pick up a needed point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawReading
28.15% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 24.24% (0.0010000000000012 0) 47.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 56.99% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)45.18% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)67.53% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)29.56% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)65.59% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.09% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.71% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 28.15%
    Reading 47.6%
    Draw 24.24%
Burton AlbionDrawReading
2-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.7%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 28.15%
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 5.21%
0-3 @ 4.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.16%
0-4 @ 1.77%
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 47.6%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Reading

Burton Albion
0.0%
Draw
22.2%
Reading
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Reading
0-0
Burton Albion
McIntyre (44')
Baah (45+12'), Hamer (50'), Seddon (66'), Powell (90+2')
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-3
Reading
Akins (51' pen.)
Turner (29'), Buxton (38'), McFadzean (86')
Dadi Bodvarsson (20', 68'), Gunter (57')
Moore (27'), Dadi Bodvarsson (68'), Ilori (71')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
May 7, 2017 12pm
Burton Albion
2-4
Reading
Turner (69'), Woodrow (72')
Irvine (77')
Mendes (3'), Obita (21'), Kermorgant (64'), Grabban (85')
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
Reading
3-0
Burton Albion
Samuel (22'), Williams (29'), Brayford (77' og.)
Samuel (63'), McCleary (64'), McShane (93')

Turner (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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