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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Lincoln City

Reading
1 - 1
Lincoln

Bindon (83')
Wing (67'), Wing (90+4'), Elliott (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Draper (72')
(69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 5-2 Reading
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Lincoln
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 1-3 Lincoln City

Reading usually save their best form for home surroundings, but we think they may come off second-best against a Lincoln team that will have significant momentum behind them following a five-game winning run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawLincoln City
45.09% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06) 25.03% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 29.88% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.51% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)47.65% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.055000000000003 -0.06)69.85% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)21.17% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)54.03% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (0.0019999999999953 0)29.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37%65.63% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 45.09%
    Lincoln City 29.88%
    Draw 25.03%
ReadingDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 45.09%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 29.88%

How you voted: Reading vs Lincoln

Reading
20.8%
Draw
4.2%
Lincoln City
75.0%
24
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Lincoln
1-1
Reading
Abby (3' og.)
Duffy (38'), Jensen (41'), Hamilton (90+3')
Knibbs (56')
Abby (22'), Knibbs (75'), Yiadom (75')
Selles (23')
Jul 10, 2021 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Reading
1-0
Lincoln
Camara (71')
Jul 20, 2019 9am
Pre-season Friendlies
Lincoln
1-0
Reading
Anderson (88')
Jul 16, 2016 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Lincoln
4-1
Reading
Caton (1'), Muldoon (3'), Waterfall (49'), Wood (84')
Smith (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101


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