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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Lincoln City

Reading
1 - 1
Lincoln

Bindon (83')
Wing (67'), Wing (90+4'), Elliott (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Draper (72')
(69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 5-2 Reading
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Lincoln
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 1-3 Lincoln City

Reading usually save their best form for home surroundings, but we think they may come off second-best against a Lincoln team that will have significant momentum behind them following a five-game winning run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawLincoln City
45.09% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06) 25.03% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 29.88% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.51% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)47.65% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.055000000000003 -0.06)69.85% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)21.17% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)54.03% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (0.0019999999999953 0)29.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37%65.63% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 45.09%
    Lincoln City 29.88%
    Draw 25.03%
ReadingDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 45.09%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 29.88%

How you voted: Reading vs Lincoln

Reading
20.8%
Draw
4.2%
Lincoln City
75.0%
24
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Lincoln
1-1
Reading
Abby (3' og.)
Duffy (38'), Jensen (41'), Hamilton (90+3')
Knibbs (56')
Abby (22'), Knibbs (75'), Yiadom (75')
Selles (23')
Jul 10, 2021 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Reading
1-0
Lincoln
Camara (71')
Jul 20, 2019 9am
Pre-season Friendlies
Lincoln
1-0
Reading
Anderson (88')
Jul 16, 2016 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Lincoln
4-1
Reading
Caton (1'), Muldoon (3'), Waterfall (49'), Wood (84')
Smith (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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