League One

League One | Gameweek 28

Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

Bloomfield Road

Blackpool
2 - 0
Exeter

Morgan (39', 49')
Morgan (42'), Coulson (58'), Connolly (78'), Virtue (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hartridge (8'), Cole (27'), Sweeney (35'), Aitchison (41'), Diabate (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Blackpool and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackpool

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Burton Albion
Wednesday, January 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Blackpool 3-1 Exeter City

Although Exeter come into the game off the back of a victory, they have tended to struggle on the road this season, and we think that their poor away form will continue against a Blackpool side that have won each of their previous six competitive home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 64.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 15.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Blackpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackpool.

Result
Blackpool	Draw	Exeter City
64.78% ( 0.27)	19.83% ( -0.12)	15.38% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 52.98% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.52% (

0.22)

41.47% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.12% (

0.23)

63.87% (

-0.23)

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.93% (

0.14)

12.06% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.43% (

0.3)

37.57% (

-0.31)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.24% (

-0.07)

39.75% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.57% (

-0.06)

76.42% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Blackpool 64.78%

Exeter City 15.38%

Draw 19.83%

Blackpool	Draw	Exeter City
2-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.62% Total : 64.78%	1-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.83%	0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.38%