League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Exeter2 - 1Carlisle
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reading 3-2 Exeter
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Port Vale
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
We said: Exeter City 1-1 Carlisle United
In a true six-pointer at the bottom end of League One, with the chance to jump out of the bottom four on the line, we anticipate a tight encounter at St James Park and cannot quite pick a winner, with both sides keen to build on recent improvements. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Carlisle United |
41.71% ( 0.01) | 26.79% ( -0) | 31.5% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.67% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
