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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Exeter City |
58.93% ( -0.19) | 21.68% ( 0.04) | 19.39% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 55.03% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.16% ( 0.07) | 42.83% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.76% ( 0.07) | 65.24% ( -0.07) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.79% ( -0.04) | 14.2% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.07% ( -0.07) | 41.92% ( 0.07) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.13% ( 0.2) | 35.86% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.36% ( 0.2) | 72.64% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Exeter City |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 58.93% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 19.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |