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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Portsmouth |
22.4% ( -0.03) | 23.8% ( -0.02) | 53.8% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.65% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.8% ( 0.04) | 48.2% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.65% ( 0.04) | 70.35% ( -0.04) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.07% ( -0.01) | 35.93% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.29% ( -0.01) | 72.7% ( 0.01) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.17% ( 0.03) | 17.83% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.42% ( 0.06) | 48.57% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.7% 3-0 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 22.4% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 53.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |