League One

League One | Gameweek 21

Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK

Bloomfield Road

Blackpool
3 - 0
Carlisle

Lyons (22'), Rhodes (67', 90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barclay (5'), McGeouch (43'), Robinson (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Blackpool and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackpool

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, December 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Reading 5-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Blackpool 2-1 Carlisle United

Barring that loss to Portsmouth last time out, Blackpool have found a bit of form of late and will fancy their chances of earning another three points here against an opponent that are winless in their last four. The Seasiders will also know that a victory could take them as high as the top six, which will be exactly where they want to be heading into the busy festive period. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.

Result
Blackpool	Draw	Carlisle United
48.25% ( -0)	25.03%	26.72% ( 0)

Both teams to score 53.3% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.48% (

49.52% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.44%

71.55% (

-0)

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.45% (

-0)

20.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.93% (

-0)

53.07%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.09% (

32.91% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.51% (

69.49% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Blackpool 48.24%

Carlisle United 26.72%

Draw 25.02%

Blackpool	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.66% Total : 48.24%	1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.52% 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.49% Total : 26.72%