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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Lincoln City |
29.4% ( 0) | 25.47% ( -0) | 45.13% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.8% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.25% ( 0.02) | 49.75% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.24% ( 0.02) | 71.75% ( -0.02) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.99% ( 0.01) | 31% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.69% ( 0.01) | 67.31% ( -0.02) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.98% ( 0.01) | 22.02% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.66% ( 0.01) | 55.34% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 8% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.96% Total : 29.4% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 10.33% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.62% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 45.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |