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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Lincoln City

Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Lincoln

Forde (35')
Wilson (45+1'), Moore (48'), Martin (61'), Forde (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moylan (64')
Moylan (62'), Montsma (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesham 0-4 Lincoln
Monday, November 4 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Lincoln City

Lincoln may have been put to the sword on their last League One away day at Crawley, but the Imps have otherwise been near-unbeatable on the road in 2024 and head to the Memorial Stadium with the form book firmly on their side. In spite of Bristol Rovers' relatively pleasing home record, the Gas are too inconsistent for us to back them with any real conviction, and a Lincoln outfit who love facing the Pirates have our vote to continue their promotion charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawLincoln City
29.04% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 26.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 44.64% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61% (0.010999999999996 0.01)53.38% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.92% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)33.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)69.76% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (0.010999999999996 0.01)23.81% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.97% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 29.04%
    Lincoln City 44.64%
    Draw 26.31%
Bristol RoversDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.82%
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.04%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 44.64%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Lincoln

Bristol Rovers
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Lincoln City
60.0%
25
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Lincoln
5-0
Bristol Rovers
O'Connor (11'), Taylor (19', 23', 55'), Hackett (81')
Erhahon (45+4'), Skubala (46'), Makama (65'), Roughan (71')
Erhahon (76')

Aguilera (85')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Lincoln
Grant (90+4')
Finley (42'), Vale (84')
Jackson (53')
Mitchell (45+1'), Mandroiu (66'), Smith (71')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Bristol Rovers
3-6
Lincoln
Collins (18', 65'), Loft (59')
House (7', 61'), Diamond (14' pen., 45+1', 56'), Virtue (51')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Lincoln

Jaakkola (51'), Leahy (52'), Baldwin (90+8'), McCormick (90+9')
Upson (36')
Scully (16')
Edun (37'), Johnson (37'), Poole (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe17123238201839
2Wrexham18114327111637
3Birmingham CityBirmingham16113230151536
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield17102526151132
5Stockport CountyStockport1886429191030
6Reading179352924530
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley187652623327
9Lincoln CityLincoln187562423126
10Mansfield TownMansfield167362120124
11Exeter CityExeter177371617-124
12Blackpool186572631-523
13Charlton AthleticCharlton176471819-122
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough176383230221
16Bristol Rovers186391726-921
17Wigan AthleticWigan175571514120
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
19Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
20Leyton Orient175391720-318
21Northampton TownNorthampton184681925-618
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1734101428-1413
23Burton Albion1725101629-1311
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1732121731-1411


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