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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Lincoln City

Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Lincoln

Forde (35')
Wilson (45+1'), Moore (48'), Martin (61'), Forde (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moylan (64')
Moylan (62'), Montsma (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesham 0-4 Lincoln
Monday, November 4 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Lincoln City

Lincoln may have been put to the sword on their last League One away day at Crawley, but the Imps have otherwise been near-unbeatable on the road in 2024 and head to the Memorial Stadium with the form book firmly on their side. In spite of Bristol Rovers' relatively pleasing home record, the Gas are too inconsistent for us to back them with any real conviction, and a Lincoln outfit who love facing the Pirates have our vote to continue their promotion charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawLincoln City
29.04% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 26.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 44.64% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61% (0.010999999999996 0.01)53.38% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.92% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)33.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)69.76% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (0.010999999999996 0.01)23.81% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.97% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 29.04%
    Lincoln City 44.64%
    Draw 26.31%
Bristol RoversDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.82%
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.04%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 44.64%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Lincoln

Bristol Rovers
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Lincoln City
60.0%
25
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Lincoln
5-0
Bristol Rovers
O'Connor (11'), Taylor (19', 23', 55'), Hackett (81')
Erhahon (45+4'), Skubala (46'), Makama (65'), Roughan (71')
Erhahon (76')

Aguilera (85')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Lincoln
Grant (90+4')
Finley (42'), Vale (84')
Jackson (53')
Mitchell (45+1'), Mandroiu (66'), Smith (71')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Bristol Rovers
3-6
Lincoln
Collins (18', 65'), Loft (59')
House (7', 61'), Diamond (14' pen., 45+1', 56'), Virtue (51')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Lincoln

Jaakkola (51'), Leahy (52'), Baldwin (90+8'), McCormick (90+9')
Upson (36')
Scully (16')
Edun (37'), Johnson (37'), Poole (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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