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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
37.55% ( -0.06) | 24.61% ( 0) | 37.84% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 59.2% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.2% ( -0.01) | 43.8% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.81% ( -0.01) | 66.19% ( 0.01) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.87% ( -0.04) | 23.13% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43% ( -0.05) | 56.99% ( 0.05) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.02% ( 0.02) | 22.98% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.23% ( 0.03) | 56.77% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.55% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |