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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Port Vale

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Port Vale


Nsiala (28'), Hamer (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Loft (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Port Vale

Both teams will be gunning for victory as they look to boost their survival hopes, but with the two sides finding wins hard to come by, we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPort Vale
37.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 35% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 49.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.04%55.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.94% (0.00099999999999767 0)77.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)64.59% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65%30.35% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.54% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 37.6%
    Port Vale 35%
    Draw 27.38%
Burton AlbionDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.6%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.73% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 10.4%
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-2 @ 6.2%
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 35%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Port Vale

Burton Albion
37.7%
Draw
41.5%
Port Vale
20.8%
53
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2023 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Burton Albion
0-2
Port Vale

Lubala (15'), Hamer (18')
Massey (31'), Cass (82')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
0-0
Burton Albion
Smith (18')
Sweeney (2'), Oshilaja (43'), Powell (45'), Walker (64')
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Port Vale
2-3
Burton Albion
Garrity (40'), Arblaster (86')
Clark (64'), Ripley (70')
Lubala (11'), Seddon (51'), Baah (61')
Hughes (17'), Helm (75'), Powell (90')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Port Vale
2-3
Burton Albion
Harrison (2'), Proctor (80')
Taylor (8', 67'), Smith (48' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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