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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 38
May 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cambridge United

Burton Albion
1 - 0
Cambridge

Helm (28')
Latty-Fairweather (13'), Kirk (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morrison (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Cambridge United

We expect Cambridge United to rise to the occasion and claim a vital victory over Burton Albion, who can afford to take their foot off the gas having secured their League One status for another season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
51.23% (1.924 1.92) 24% (-0.419 -0.42) 24.77% (-1.507 -1.51)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (0.553 0.55)46.73% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31% (0.518 0.52)69% (-0.52 -0.52)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (0.96899999999999 0.97)18.26% (-0.971 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (1.627 1.63)49.3% (-1.63 -1.63)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (-0.93300000000001 -0.93)33.02% (0.93 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (-1.047 -1.05)69.6% (1.045 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 51.23%
    Cambridge United 24.77%
    Draw 23.99%
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 10.25% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.72% (0.331 0.33)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.237 0.24)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.332 0.33)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.168 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.201 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 51.23%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.334 -0.33)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.279 -0.28)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.77%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Cambridge

Burton Albion
51.4%
Draw
24.3%
Cambridge United
24.3%
37
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Cambridge
4-3
Burton Albion
Smith (34', 53', 69'), O'Neil (79')
Digby (38'), Lankester (90+6')
Ahadme (1', 67'), Brayford (41')
Hamer (19'), Ahadme (27'), Brayford (51'), Borthwick-Jackson (90+7')
Smith (10')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
gameweek 33
Burton Albion
2-2
Cambridge
Yahyai (2' pen.), Kokolo (62')
Gilligan (24')
Knibbs (25'), Smith (72')
Sherring (90+1')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
gameweek 4
Cambridge
3-0
Burton Albion
Smith (53'), Hamer (73' og., 79' og.)
Jones (34')

Mancienne (18'), Brayford (71')
Oct 6, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Burton Albion
2-4
Cambridge
Akins (3'), Powell (4')
Gallagher (20'), Daniel (45+3')
Knibbs (27'), Hannant (31', 86'), Darling (79')
Digby (73'), Knibbs (90')
May 2, 2015 3pm
Cambridge
2-3
Burton Albion
Elliott (25'), Simpson (69' pen.)
Beavon (11'), Edwards (77'), Stewart (88')
Taft (55'), Mousinho (69'), McCrory (86')
McLaughlan (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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2Wrexham23146335161948
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe22145347242347
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield22134536191743
5Stockport CountyStockport23107635241137
6Reading2211473632437
7Barnsley2310673432236
8Bolton WanderersBolton2110473231134
9Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
10Leyton Orient229492820831
11Mansfield TownMansfield219482724331
12Lincoln CityLincoln238782829-131
13Exeter CityExeter229492627-131
14Stevenage218581820-229
15Blackpool227783033-328
16Wigan AthleticWigan227692120127
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham216692023-324
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2273123943-424
19Northampton TownNorthampton2357112339-1622
20Bristol Rovers2264121935-1622
21Crawley TownCrawley2255122440-1620
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2245132139-1817
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2244142342-1916
24Burton Albion2227131835-1713


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