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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 38
May 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cambridge United

Burton Albion
1 - 0
Cambridge

Helm (28')
Latty-Fairweather (13'), Kirk (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morrison (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Cambridge United

We expect Cambridge United to rise to the occasion and claim a vital victory over Burton Albion, who can afford to take their foot off the gas having secured their League One status for another season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
51.23% (1.924 1.92) 24% (-0.419 -0.42) 24.77% (-1.507 -1.51)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (0.553 0.55)46.73% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31% (0.518 0.52)69% (-0.52 -0.52)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (0.96899999999999 0.97)18.26% (-0.971 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (1.627 1.63)49.3% (-1.63 -1.63)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (-0.93300000000001 -0.93)33.02% (0.93 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (-1.047 -1.05)69.6% (1.045 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 51.23%
    Cambridge United 24.77%
    Draw 23.99%
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 10.25% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.72% (0.331 0.33)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.237 0.24)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.332 0.33)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.168 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.201 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 51.23%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.334 -0.33)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.279 -0.28)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.77%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Cambridge

Burton Albion
51.4%
Draw
24.3%
Cambridge United
24.3%
37
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Cambridge
4-3
Burton Albion
Smith (34', 53', 69'), O'Neil (79')
Digby (38'), Lankester (90+6')
Ahadme (1', 67'), Brayford (41')
Hamer (19'), Ahadme (27'), Brayford (51'), Borthwick-Jackson (90+7')
Smith (10')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
gameweek 33
Burton Albion
2-2
Cambridge
Yahyai (2' pen.), Kokolo (62')
Gilligan (24')
Knibbs (25'), Smith (72')
Sherring (90+1')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
gameweek 4
Cambridge
3-0
Burton Albion
Smith (53'), Hamer (73' og., 79' og.)
Jones (34')

Mancienne (18'), Brayford (71')
Oct 6, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Burton Albion
2-4
Cambridge
Akins (3'), Powell (4')
Gallagher (20'), Daniel (45+3')
Knibbs (27'), Hannant (31', 86'), Darling (79')
Digby (73'), Knibbs (90')
May 2, 2015 3pm
Cambridge
2-3
Burton Albion
Elliott (25'), Simpson (69' pen.)
Beavon (11'), Edwards (77'), Stewart (88')
Taft (55'), Mousinho (69'), McCrory (86')
McLaughlan (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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