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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Cambridge United |
51.23% ( 1.92) | 24% ( -0.42) | 24.77% ( -1.51) |
Both teams to score 54.75% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.26% ( 0.55) | 46.73% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31% ( 0.52) | 69% ( -0.52) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.74% ( 0.97) | 18.26% ( -0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.7% ( 1.63) | 49.3% ( -1.63) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.98% ( -0.93) | 33.02% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.39% ( -1.05) | 69.6% ( 1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.23% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |