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League One
Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Bristol Rovers

Carlisle
0 - 1
Bristol Rovers


Barclay (5'), Garner (14'), Moxon (90+5'), Gibson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavelle (38' og.)
Woods (14'), Friend (45+2'), Collins (51')
Crama (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Bristol Rovers

 There are often plenty of goals when these sides meet, as the last 11 head-to-heads have produced a whopping 36 goals. Neither of the two sides are in the best form though, so a close, cagey affair could be in store which may see the spoils shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
38.31% (-0.552 -0.55) 25.76% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 35.93% (0.64100000000001 0.64)
Both teams to score 55.02% (0.36 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.85% (0.434 0.43)49.15% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.78% (0.39 0.39)71.21% (-0.389 -0.39)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.101 -0.1)25.15% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (-0.139 -0.14)59.86% (0.141 0.14)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (0.58200000000001 0.58)26.49% (-0.58 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32% (0.764 0.76)61.68% (-0.763 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 38.31%
    Bristol Rovers 35.93%
    Draw 25.75%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.66% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.11% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.102 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.063 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 35.93%

Head to Head
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Carlisle
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Dennis (72')
Armer (65'), Dickenson (90+6'), Dennis (90+6'), Patrick (90+7')

Taylor (90+6'), Saunders (90+8')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Carlisle
Evans (35'), Nicholson (86'), Saunders (90+4')
Harries (23'), Saunders (76'), Thomas (88'), Whelan (90')

Feeney (16'), Devine (26'), Alessandra (38'), Armer (60'), Guy (61'), Mellish (74')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
3-2
Bristol Rovers
Stacey (11'), Wyke (49'), Kennedy (85')
Miller (74'), Ibehre (90'), Ellis (90')
Bodin (27'), Taylor (57')
Parkes (51'), Lines (72')
Nov 14, 2015 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-0
Carlisle
Taylor (66', 87')
Sinclair (9'), Brown (52'), McChrystal (55'), Parkes (93')
Jan 15, 2011 3pm
Carlisle
4-0
Bristol Rovers
Cooper (73'), Berrett (44' pen., 82' pen.), Curran (57')
Thirlwell (41')

Sawyer (7')
Coles (51')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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