League One

League One | Gameweek 17

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
0 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Barclay (5'), Garner (14'), Moxon (90+5'), Gibson (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lavelle (38' og.)
Woods (14'), Friend (45+2'), Collins (51')
Crama (73')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Reading 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Bristol Rovers

There are often plenty of goals when these sides meet, as the last 11 head-to-heads have produced a whopping 36 goals. Neither of the two sides are in the best form though, so a close, cagey affair could be in store which may see the spoils shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Bristol Rovers
38.31% ( -0.55)	25.76% ( -0.09)	35.93% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 55.02% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.85% (

0.43)

49.15% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.78% (

0.39)

71.21% (

-0.39)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85% (

-0.1)

25.15% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.13% (

-0.14)

59.86% (

0.14)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.51% (

0.58)

26.49% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.32% (

0.76)

61.68% (

-0.76)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 38.31%

Bristol Rovers 35.93%

Draw 25.75%

Carlisle United	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.31%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.93%