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Championship header 2

League One
Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Carlisle United

Cambridge
1 - 0
Carlisle

Thomas (73')
Lankester (30'), Bennett (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Armer (47')
Armer (83'), McCalmont (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Carlisle United

 A draw could be on the cards in Cambridge, as the hosts have not pulled up trees in recent home games, while Carlisle have claimed one victory in their last five away fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cambridge United in this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawCarlisle United
36.53% (-0.108 -0.11) 27.13% (0.0030000000000001 0) 36.34% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 50.51% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)54.88% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.82% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)76.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)28.87% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)64.74% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.062000000000012 0.06)28.99% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (0.073999999999998 0.07)64.88% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 36.52%
    Carlisle United 36.34%
    Draw 27.12%
Cambridge UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.52%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.37% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.42% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 36.34%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Carlisle

Cambridge United
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Carlisle United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Carlisle
1-2
Cambridge
Alessandra (78')
Hayden (24'), Furman (28'), Zanzala (68')
Mullin (45+2'), May (90')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cambridge
3-0
Carlisle
Hannant (9'), Mullin (16'), Ironside (86')
Digby (45+3')

Patrick (45+3'), Guy (76'), Toure (88'), Mellish (89')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cambridge
1-2
Carlisle
Lambe (82')
Roles (78')
Alessandra (27'), Anderton (73')
Hayden (59'), Webster (64'), McKirdy (80'), Charters (89'), Olomola (90')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Carlisle
0-0
Cambridge
Loft (29'), Carroll (70')
Hannant (26'), Lewis (39'), Smith (83')
Mar 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Carlisle
2-2
Cambridge
Devitt (37'), Thomas (45')
Jones (50'), Grainger (81')
Hepburn-Murphy (3'), Ibehre (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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