League One

League One | Gameweek 19

Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 1
Charlton

Lavelle (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Taylor (54')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, November 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Charlton 3-0 Sutton
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Charlton Athletic

With the Piatak family casting their eyes over the team for the first time as owners, Carlisle will be desperate to earn a victory at Brunton Park this weekend. Charlton have got back on track after back-to-back defeats to Lincoln and Bolton Wanderers in October, and we are expecting the Addicks to win in Cumbria on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Charlton Athletic
36.05% ( 0.49)	24.55% ( -0.09)	39.41% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 59.33% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.4% (

0.48)

43.6% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.01% (

0.47)

65.99% (

-0.47)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16% (

0.49)

23.84% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98% (

0.7)

58.03% (

-0.7)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.9% (

0.01)

22.1% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.54% (

0.02)

55.46% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 36.05%

Charlton Athletic 39.41%

Draw 24.54%

Carlisle United	Draw	Charlton Athletic
2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.05%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54%	1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 6% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.41%