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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
36.05% ( 0.49) | 24.55% ( -0.09) | 39.41% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 59.33% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.4% ( 0.48) | 43.6% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.01% ( 0.47) | 65.99% ( -0.47) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% ( 0.49) | 23.84% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.98% ( 0.7) | 58.03% ( -0.7) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.9% ( 0.01) | 22.1% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.54% ( 0.02) | 55.46% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.05% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 6% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |