League One

League One | Gameweek 16

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
1 - 2
Cheltenham

Devine (32')
Debrah (66'), Thomas (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Long (42', 66')
Ferry (31'), Clarke (32'), Davies (34'), Williams (45+4'), Goodwin (59')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Peterborough
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Blackpool 3-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Cheltenham Town

While Cheltenham have shown signs of encouragement in recent weeks, they are still yet to pick up an away victory this season. However, we still think they will do enough to collect a point, with their hosts currently winless in seven league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 51.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Cheltenham Town
51.85% ( -0)	24.85%	23.3% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.5% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.42% (

0.01)

51.58% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.63% (

0.01)

73.37% (

-0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.12% (

19.88% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.01% (

51.99%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.03% (

0.01)

36.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.24% (

0.01)

73.76% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 51.85%

Cheltenham Town 23.3%

Draw 24.85%

Port Vale	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.87% 2-0 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 5.16% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 51.85%	1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.85%	0-1 @ 7.31% 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 23.3%