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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Cheltenham Town

Port Vale
1 - 2
Cheltenham

Devine (32')
Debrah (66'), Thomas (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Long (42', 66')
Ferry (31'), Clarke (32'), Davies (34'), Williams (45+4'), Goodwin (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Cheltenham Town

While Cheltenham have shown signs of encouragement in recent weeks, they are still yet to pick up an away victory this season. However, we still think they will do enough to collect a point, with their hosts currently winless in seven league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 51.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawCheltenham Town
51.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.85%23.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)51.58% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)73.37% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.88% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.01% (0.0020000000000024 0)51.99%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03% (0.009999999999998 0.01)36.97% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24% (0.009999999999998 0.01)73.76% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 51.85%
    Cheltenham Town 23.3%
    Draw 24.85%
Port ValeDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 51.85%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.31%
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 23.3%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Cheltenham

Port Vale
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Port Vale
2-2
Cheltenham
Odubeko (37'), Perry (40' og.)
N'Lundulu (24'), Brown (90+2')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Cheltenham
3-2
Port Vale
May (14'), Brown (18' og.), Sercombe (75')
Swan (83'), Hurst (85')
Guthrie (65'), Crookes (74')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Port Vale
2-1
Cheltenham
Legge (52'), Worrall (68')
Williams (48')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 37
Cheltenham
0-0
Port Vale
Raglan (69')
Legge (29')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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