Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.