Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.