Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.