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Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 at 2pm UK
The New Lawn
Cheltenham Town

Forest Green
1 - 0
Cheltenham

FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (16'), Sercombe (45+1'), Freestone (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-1 Cheltenham Town

In a match with permutations in the lower half of the table, we expect both sides to compete vigorously to gain another three points in League One. Nevertheless, there will be no separating the sides on the day, culminating in a point apiece for both Forest Green and Cheltenham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCheltenham Town
51.39% (0.012 0.01) 24.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 23.99% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.95% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)50.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.02% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)35.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)72.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 51.38%
    Cheltenham Town 23.99%
    Draw 24.62%
Forest Green RoversDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 51.38%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.99%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Cheltenham

Forest Green Rovers
Draw
Cheltenham Town
Forest Green Rovers
45.5%
Draw
45.5%
Cheltenham Town
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7pm
Second Round
Forest Green
1-1
Cheltenham
Cheltenham win 4-3 on penalties
March (24')
Peart-Harris (17')
Broom (69')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Cheltenham
2-1
Forest Green
Boyle (11'), Williams (57')
Boyle (14'), May (26'), Sercombe (59'), Clements (73')
Collins (74' pen.)
Adams (77')
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Cheltenham
1-2
Forest Green
Varney (67')
Raglan (24'), Clements (86'), Ince (90'), Tozer (93')
Aitchison (15'), Frear (40')
Collins (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham40298373294495
2Wrexham422410859322782
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe422312767373081
4Stockport CountyStockport422211963372677
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4222101058382076
6Reading421912115951869
7Leyton Orient422061661431866
8Bolton WanderersBolton42206166362166
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield421971654441064
10Blackpool4115151163531060
11Barnsley42169176064-457
12Lincoln CityLincoln421413155749855
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham42159184853-554
14Stevenage411410173844-652
15Exeter CityExeter421410184558-1352
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough41139196272-1048
17Wigan AthleticWigan411114163539-447
18Mansfield TownMansfield41138204959-1047
19Northampton TownNorthampton421114174259-1747
20Burton Albion411012194459-1542
21Bristol Rovers42126244268-2642
22Crawley TownCrawley4299244981-3236
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge42811234066-2635
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4279263771-3430


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