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Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 at 2pm UK
The New Lawn
Cheltenham Town

Forest Green
1 - 0
Cheltenham

FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (16'), Sercombe (45+1'), Freestone (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-1 Cheltenham Town

In a match with permutations in the lower half of the table, we expect both sides to compete vigorously to gain another three points in League One. Nevertheless, there will be no separating the sides on the day, culminating in a point apiece for both Forest Green and Cheltenham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCheltenham Town
51.39% (0.012 0.01) 24.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 23.99% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.95% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)50.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.02% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)35.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)72.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 51.38%
    Cheltenham Town 23.99%
    Draw 24.62%
Forest Green RoversDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 51.38%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.99%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Cheltenham

Forest Green Rovers
45.5%
Draw
45.5%
Cheltenham Town
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7pm
Second Round
Forest Green
1-1
Cheltenham
Cheltenham win 4-3 on penalties
March (24')
Peart-Harris (17')
Broom (69')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Cheltenham
2-1
Forest Green
Boyle (11'), Williams (57')
Boyle (14'), May (26'), Sercombe (59'), Clements (73')
Collins (74' pen.)
Adams (77')
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Cheltenham
1-2
Forest Green
Varney (67')
Raglan (24'), Clements (86'), Ince (90'), Tozer (93')
Aitchison (15'), Frear (40')
Collins (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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