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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
60.97% ( -3.31) | 21.14% ( 1.24) | 17.89% ( 2.07) |
Both teams to score 54.03% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.2% ( -1.88) | 42.8% ( 1.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.8% ( -1.89) | 65.2% ( 1.89) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.44% ( -1.53) | 13.56% ( 1.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.34% ( -3.16) | 40.66% ( 3.16) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.5% ( 1.36) | 37.49% ( -1.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.72% ( 1.31) | 74.27% ( -1.31) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.64) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.37) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.54) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.31) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.25) Other @ 3.09% Total : 60.97% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.61) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.14% | 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.36% Total : 17.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |