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Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
Cheltenham Town

Charlton
0 - 1
Cheltenham

FT(HT: 0-0)
May (84')
Bonds (38'), Southwood (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-2 Cheltenham Town

Charlton were seconds away from passage to the third round of the FA Cup last weekend before a last-minute equaliser from Stockport, with the Addicks' defensive record showing no signs of improving any point soon. Cheltenham have put that awful loss against Alvechurch behind them by going three unbeaten and could be on for another win at The Valley on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawCheltenham Town
60.97% (-3.314 -3.31) 21.14% (1.241 1.24) 17.89% (2.073 2.07)
Both teams to score 54.03% (0.235 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.2% (-1.88 -1.88)42.8% (1.879 1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.8% (-1.894 -1.89)65.2% (1.892 1.89)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.44% (-1.534 -1.53)13.56% (1.533 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.34% (-3.156 -3.16)40.66% (3.156 3.16)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.5% (1.355 1.36)37.49% (-1.358 -1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72% (1.306 1.31)74.27% (-1.308 -1.31)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 60.97%
    Cheltenham Town 17.89%
    Draw 21.14%
Charlton AthleticDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.262 0.26)
2-0 @ 10.14% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.76% (-0.641 -0.64)
3-1 @ 6.63% (-0.365 -0.37)
4-0 @ 3.38% (-0.542 -0.54)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.392 -0.39)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.35% (-0.31 -0.31)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.246 -0.25)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 60.97%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.609 0.61)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.412 0.41)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.199 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.14%
0-1 @ 4.99% (0.57 0.57)
1-2 @ 4.89% (0.465 0.47)
0-2 @ 2.45% (0.358 0.36)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.205 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 17.89%

How you voted: Charlton vs Cheltenham

Charlton Athletic
47.6%
Draw
14.3%
Cheltenham Town
38.1%
21
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
1-1
Charlton
Nlundulu (43')
Wright (62'), Thomas (67'), Nlundulu (68')
Aneke (90+4')
Aneke (45'), Inniss (68')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Charlton
1-2
Cheltenham
Leko (59')
Famewo (87'), Stockley (90+3')
Blair (6'), Perry (33')
Long (90+3')
Aug 9, 2016 7.45pm
Cheltenham
1-0
Charlton
Pell (17')
Holman (61'), Jennings (91')

Fox (76'), Crofts (94'), Jackson (95')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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