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Cheltenham Town
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
1 - 2
Alvechurch

Jackson (54')
Sercombe (62'), Long (75'), N'Lundulu (82'), May (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Waldron (19'), Concannon (50')
Waldron (21'), Willets (69'), Sephton (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Cheltenham Town and Alvechurch, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 MK Dons
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 4-0 Alvechurch

On a rare appearance at this stage of the competition, Alvechurch will want to enjoy the day as well as attempting to cause a monumental upset. However, we can only predict a one-sided game with the home side running out comfortable victors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Alvechurch had a probability of 20.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Alvechurch win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawAlvechurch
58.18% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05) 21.13% (0.012 0.01) 20.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 59.16% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.4% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.31% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)60.69% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.01% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)12.99% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.5% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)39.5% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Alvechurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.043000000000006 0.04)32.01% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53% (0.047999999999998 0.05)68.47% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 58.18%
    Alvechurch 20.69%
    Draw 21.13%
Cheltenham TownDrawAlvechurch
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 3.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 58.18%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.13%
1-2 @ 5.51% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 20.69%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Alvechurch

Cheltenham Town
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Alvechurch
8.3%
12
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Cheltenham Town
rhs 2.0
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