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League One | Gameweek 29
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Ipswich
3 - 0
Accrington

Broadhead (12'), Jackson (56'), Edwards (90+4')
Burgess (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Conneely (45+3'), Fernandes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Accrington Stanley

Ipswich have been a dominant force at Portman Road this season, and we think that they will extend their unbeaten home run to 11 league games when they face an Accrington side who are winless in six away matches in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 77.9%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 7.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.09%) and 1-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawAccrington Stanley
77.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 14.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 7.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 44.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.72% (0.016999999999996 0.02)38.28% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.44% (0.019999999999996 0.02)60.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)8% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.79% (0.016000000000005 0.02)28.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.35% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.22% (0.0040000000000013 0)85.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 77.88%
    Accrington Stanley 7.61%
    Draw 14.5%
Ipswich TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-0 @ 13.18%
3-0 @ 11.09%
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 7.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 7.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 3.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.34% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 77.88%
1-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 2.88%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 14.5%
0-1 @ 2.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-2 @ 2.28%
0-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 7.61%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Accrington

Ipswich Town
89.5%
Draw
5.3%
Accrington Stanley
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Accrington
0-2
Ipswich

Leigh (56'), Tharme (79'), Hamilton (85')
Chaplin (76'), Burns (87')
Woolfenden (14'), Davis (20'), Burns (73')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Ipswich
2-1
Accrington
Burns (23'), Chaplin (65')
Carroll (52'), Edmundson (87'), Celina (89')
Hamilton (15')
Nottingham (8'), Pell (58'), Longelo-Mbule (83')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Accrington
2-1
Ipswich
Bishop (50'), Pell (79')
Hamilton (81'), Conneely (90')
Bonne (38')
Norwood (90')
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Accrington
1-2
Ipswich
Charles (4')
Burgess (45+6'), Charles (48'), McConville (67')
Conneely (16')
Wilson (41'), Norwood (45+6')
Wilson (79')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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