MX23RW : Friday, November 22 04:42:23| >> :600:303922:303922:
Accrington Stanley
EFL Trophy | Semi-Finals
Feb 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Wham Stadium
Bolton logo

Accrington
0 - 2
Bolton


Presley (21'), Coyle (41')
McConville (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kachunga (82'), Morley (84')
Trafford (52'), Morley (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Accrington Stanley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Bolton Wanderers

With a place at Wembley on the line, both sides will be very keen, but Bolton just have that extra bit of quality, which was demonstrated in the clash at the same ground earlier this season. Accrington will give it their all, but the two teams are at opposite ends of the League One table for a reason, and the visitors should ultimately be comfortable winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawBolton Wanderers
19.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 22.25% (0.00099999999999767 0) 58.55% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.77% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (0.030999999999999 0.03)45.66% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (0.030000000000001 0.03)67.98% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.28% (0.042000000000002 0.04)37.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.51% (0.041 0.04)74.49% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)15.27% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.04% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)43.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 19.2%
    Bolton Wanderers 58.55%
    Draw 22.25%
Accrington StanleyDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 2.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.67% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 19.2%
1-1 @ 10.55%
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.25%
0-1 @ 10.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.37% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
0-5 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 58.55%

How you voted: Accrington vs Bolton

Accrington Stanley
20.9%
Draw
13.4%
Bolton Wanderers
65.7%
67
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Accrington
2-3
Bolton
Whalley (8'), Johnston (48' og.)
Clark (42')
Rodgers (56' og.), Lee (71'), Afolayan (75')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Bolton
3-1
Accrington
Afolayan (42'), Dadi Bodvarsson (69', 89')
Afolayan (29'), John (45+3'), Amaechi (65'), Williams (70')
Bagueloc'rich (50')
Clark (41'), McConville (45+3'), Bagueloc'rich (45+5'), Conneely (76')
Longelo-Mbule (82')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 32
Accrington
2-0
Bolton
Zanzala (10'), Bishop (85')

Graham (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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