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League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Accrington
1 - 0
Shrewsbury

Presley (12')
Longelo-Mbule (67'), Sangare (77'), Fernandes (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Winchester (16'), Saydee (50'), Phillips (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-2 Shrewsbury Town

This fixture is set to be a war of attrition due to the aggressive nature of both sides, but we believe that Shrewsbury will slightly edge this match, as they pose a major threat from set pieces. We think that Accrington will still cause Shrewsbury some defensive issues, but will be unable to continue their six-match unbeaten streak against the away side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawShrewsbury Town
31.48% (0.295 0.3) 28.02% (0.184 0.18) 40.51% (-0.475 -0.48)
Both teams to score 47.04% (-0.418 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.14% (-0.57400000000001 -0.57)58.87% (0.58 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.64% (-0.447 -0.45)79.37% (0.452 0.45)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)34.23% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)70.93% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (-0.54000000000001 -0.54)28.48% (0.544 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (-0.685 -0.69)64.25% (0.69 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 31.48%
    Shrewsbury Town 40.5%
    Draw 28.01%
Accrington StanleyDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.6% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.48%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.75% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 12.24% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.69% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 40.5%

How you voted: Accrington vs Shrewsbury

Accrington Stanley
41.7%
Draw
0.0%
Shrewsbury Town
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Accrington
1-0
Shrewsbury
Mumbongo (15')
Morgan (65')

Vela (25'), Pennington (44'), Cosgrove (45+2'), Nurse (62')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Accrington
1-1
Shrewsbury
Conneely (47')
Conneely (43'), Barclay (45+1'), Morgan (80')
Whalley (77')
Main (56')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
2-2
Accrington
Pierre (26'), Whalley (86')
Norburn (33'), Williams (38'), Walker (41'), Vela (57')
Pritchard (24'), Cassidy (90+4' pen.)
Hughes (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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