League One

League One | Gameweek 33

Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
1 - 0
Shrewsbury

Presley (12')
Longelo-Mbule (67'), Sangare (77'), Fernandes (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Winchester (16'), Saydee (50'), Phillips (90+8')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-2 Shrewsbury Town

This fixture is set to be a war of attrition due to the aggressive nature of both sides, but we believe that Shrewsbury will slightly edge this match, as they pose a major threat from set pieces. We think that Accrington will still cause Shrewsbury some defensive issues, but will be unable to continue their six-match unbeaten streak against the away side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
31.48% ( 0.3)	28.02% ( 0.18)	40.51% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 47.04% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.14% (

-0.57)

58.87% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.64% (

-0.45)

79.37% (

0.45)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.77% (

-0.08)

34.23% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.07% (

-0.09)

70.93% (

0.1)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.52% (

-0.54)

28.48% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.75% (

-0.69)

64.25% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 31.48%

Shrewsbury Town 40.5%

Draw 28.01%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.48%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.01%	0-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.72% Total : 40.5%