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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Exeter City

Lincoln
1 - 0
Exeter

Taylor (67')
Sorensen (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sweeney (17'), Harris (56'), Jules (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-3 Derby
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Exeter City

A Lincoln unit renowned for keeping things tight at the back will welcome the visit of one of League One's least prolific attacking contingents, although Exeter have often found their best shooting boots away from home rather than at St James Park. Three of the last four meetings between the two sides have ended in a 1-1 draw, and a contest as close as the table would suggest should also unfold on Saturday, where another low-scoring stalemate is not beyond the realm of possibility. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 32.33% and a draw has a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.92%).

Result
Lincoln CityDrawExeter City
40.35% (-0.188 -0.19) 27.32% (0.334 0.33) 32.33% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.31% (-1.051 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.88% (-1.314 -1.31)56.12% (1.316 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (-1.076 -1.08)77.18% (1.078 1.08)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (-0.71600000000001 -0.72)27.26% (0.718 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (-0.944 -0.94)62.7% (0.945 0.95)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (-0.76899999999999 -0.77)32.2% (0.772 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (-0.883 -0.88)68.69% (0.88399999999999 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 40.35%
    Exeter City 32.33%
    Draw 27.31%
Lincoln CityDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.436 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.155 -0.16)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 9.95% (0.292 0.29)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.33%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Exeter

Lincoln City
75.0%
Draw
10.0%
Exeter City
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Exeter
1-1
Lincoln
Trevitt (81')
Scott (53'), Hartridge (77'), Harper (78'), Sinisalo (89')
Smith (20')
Hamilton (39'), Adelakun (43'), Erhahon (78'), O'Connor (89')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Exeter
2-1
Lincoln
Nombe (33', 73')
O'Connor (19')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Hopper (49')
Sorensen (90+2')
Nombe (14')
Sweeney (32'), Dieng (58')
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Akinde (96')
Bostwick (53'), Bolger (87'), Rhead (90')
Jay (22')
Pym (92')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 6
Exeter
0-3
Lincoln

Stockley (13'), Taylor (22'), Martin (45'), Martin (74'), Boateng (90')
Frecklington (43'), Akinde (45'), Brown (56' og.)
Andrade (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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