League One

League One | Gameweek 34

Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
1 - 0
Exeter

Taylor (67')
Sorensen (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sweeney (17'), Harris (56'), Jules (72')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 0-3 Derby
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Exeter City

A Lincoln unit renowned for keeping things tight at the back will welcome the visit of one of League One's least prolific attacking contingents, although Exeter have often found their best shooting boots away from home rather than at St James Park. Three of the last four meetings between the two sides have ended in a 1-1 draw, and a contest as close as the table would suggest should also unfold on Saturday, where another low-scoring stalemate is not beyond the realm of possibility. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 32.33% and a draw has a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.92%).

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Exeter City
40.35% ( -0.19)	27.32% ( 0.33)	32.33% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 49.31% (

-1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.88% (

-1.31)

56.12% (

1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.82% (

-1.08)

77.18% (

1.08)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.74% (

-0.72)

27.26% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.3% (

-0.94)

62.7% (

0.95)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.8% (

-0.77)

32.2% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.31% (

-0.88)

68.69% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 40.35%

Exeter City 32.33%

Draw 27.31%

Lincoln City	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.35%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.33%