MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:34:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Crawley Town

Lincoln
4 - 1
Crawley

Collins (14'), Makama (24'), Jefferies (32'), Gardner (88')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Doyle (6')
Radcliffe (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 4-3 Lincoln
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Crawley Town

Both sides will enter this match in disappointing form, and we are struggling to back either with any real confidence; Lincoln have home advantage and are higher up the division, but we can see Crawley claiming a valuable point on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawCrawley Town
54.8% (0.448 0.45) 23.56% (-0.344 -0.34) 21.64% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 52.37% (0.932 0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.94% (1.309 1.31)48.05% (-1.306 -1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.78% (1.189 1.19)70.22% (-1.187 -1.19)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.59% (0.649 0.65)17.41% (-0.647 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.15% (1.121 1.12)47.84% (-1.119 -1.12)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.42% (0.636 0.64)36.58% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.63% (0.635 0.64)73.37% (-0.634 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 54.8%
    Crawley Town 21.64%
    Draw 23.55%
Lincoln CityDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.13% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.73% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.151 0.15)
3-0 @ 5.67% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.123 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.116 0.12)
4-0 @ 2.48% (0.075 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 54.8%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.351 -0.35)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.112 0.11)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.237 -0.24)
1-2 @ 5.63% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 21.64%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Crawley

Lincoln City
64.7%
Draw
23.5%
Crawley Town
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Second Round
Crawley
3-4
Lincoln
Roles (10'), Showunmi (13'), Kelley (82')
John-Jules (22')
O'Connor (19'), Makama (39'), Ring (47'), Moylan (48')
Wickens (90+5')
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Crawley
3-0
Lincoln
Swan (46'), Darcy (73'), Hepburn-Murphy (90+5')
Ibrahim (43'), Holohan (89')

McGrandles (45+2'), O'Connor (81'), Roughan (87')
Mar 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Crawley
0-3
Lincoln

Dallison (39')
Andrade (37'), McCartan (76'), Bolger (85')
Sep 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 7
Lincoln
0-1
Crawley

Bostwick (75')
Frecklington (55')
Bostwick (45' og.)
N'Gala (12'), Bulman (22'), Maguire (46'), Connolly (68'), Palmer (90')
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Crawley
3-1
Lincoln
Smith (15'), Payne (68' pen.), Connolly (72')
Payne (48'), Roberts (68'), Yorwerth (85'), Randall (86')
Green (52')
Green (18'), Waterfall (45'), Wharton (67'), Woodyard (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!