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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Lincoln
2 - 1
Fleetwood

House (53'), Sorensen (57')
O'Connor (19'), House (45+2'), Erhahon (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Omochere (34')
Lawal (41'), Stockley (45+2')
Lawal (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Fleetwood Town

Lincoln's games tend to be low-scoring, with the Imps averaging slightly over one goal-per-game scored and exactly one goal-per-game against heading into this match. They have kept three straight clean sheets and will be confident after their win against Burton with 10 men. However, Fleetwood will also be buoyed after winning two successive games, and we can envisage the two sides playing out a low-scoring draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 39%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawFleetwood Town
39% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06) 26.65% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 34.35% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.85% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)53.1% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)74.68% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)26.6% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)61.83% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.67% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.33% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 38.99%
    Fleetwood Town 34.35%
    Draw 26.65%
Lincoln CityDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.99%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.57% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.87% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.35%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Fleetwood

Lincoln City
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Fleetwood Town
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Fleetwood
0-1
Lincoln

Simons (36'), Robertson (89'), Vela (90+11')
Nsiala (90+6')
Mitchell (6')
Jensen (36'), Hamilton (43'), Sorensen (45'), Adelakun (90+2')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Fleetwood
2-1
Lincoln
Jackson (16' og.), Stockley (73')
Poole (45+5')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Lincoln
2-2
Fleetwood
Bishop (6', 14')
Roughan (33'), Hopper (59'), House (62')
Lane (32'), Garner (90+3')
Nsiala (30'), Lynch (59'), Earl (60'), Lane (81')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Fleetwood
1-1
Lincoln
Batty (31')
Clarke (22'), Butterworth (90+2')
Fiorini (64')
Walsh (21'), McGrandles (35'), Jackson (78')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Lincoln
2-1
Fleetwood
Scully (69', 87' pen.)
Melbourne (31'), Edun (64'), Bishop (75')
Andrew (32')
Matete (7'), Clark (74'), Hill (86')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Spain
vs.
France
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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