League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Lincoln2 - 1Fleetwood
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Fleetwood Town
Lincoln's games tend to be low-scoring, with the Imps averaging slightly over one goal-per-game scored and exactly one goal-per-game against heading into this match. They have kept three straight clean sheets and will be confident after their win against Burton with 10 men. However, Fleetwood will also be buoyed after winning two successive games, and we can envisage the two sides playing out a low-scoring draw on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 39%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
39% ( -0.06) | 26.65% ( 0.02) | 34.35% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.85% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
