Stevenage
2 - 3
MK Dons

Thompson (45+1' og.), Effiong (66' pen.)
Wildin (52'), Vincelot (64')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Morris (32'), Bird (38', 84')
Freeman (37'), Kasumu (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Stevenage and MK Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	MK Dons
29.64%	25.48%	44.88%

Both teams to score 53.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.3%

49.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.29%

71.71%

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.19%

30.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.92%

67.08%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88%

22.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51%

55.48%

Score Analysis

Stevenage 29.64%

MK Dons 44.87%

Draw 25.48%

Stevenage	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 8.02% 2-1 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 4.72% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.11% 3-0 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.64%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 7.76% 1-3 @ 4.59% 0-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.29% Total : 44.87%