EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 23, 2020 at 7pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 0
Gillingham

Campbell (37')
McClean (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Maghoma (90'), Jackson (90')

Michael O'Neill hails Tyrese Campbell after winner against Gillingham

The Potters knocked Gillingham out of the Carabao Cup.

Sep 23, 22:25

The Match

Match Report

The striker settled the Carabao Cup tie which the Potters won 1-0.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round tie between Stoke City and Gillingham, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Gillingham
42.12%	27.18%	30.7%

Both teams to score 49.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.98%

56.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.89%

77.1%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.74%

26.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.62%

61.37%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.69%

33.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.08%

69.92%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 42.11%

Gillingham 30.7%

Draw 27.17%

Stoke City	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 11.69% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.11%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.75% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.17%	0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.7%