League One

League One | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
0 - 1
Stevenage

Odimayo (17'), Hoskins (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Piergianni (80')
Piergianni (4'), Evans (5'), Butler (88'), Burns (90+13')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Birmingham
Wednesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Ipswich
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Stevenage

The opening day is always a nervy fixture for teams because while they want to set the tone for the season, it is also important to try and avoid a heavy defeat. This can often lead to a cautious performance and considering both teams know each other well from League Two, a draw would not be a surprise. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.73%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Stevenage
27.87% ( -1.85)	28.5% ( -0.05)	43.63% ( 1.9)

Both teams to score 44.13% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.27% (

-0.52)

61.73% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.46% (

-0.39)

81.54% (

0.38)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.41% (

-1.77)

38.59% (

1.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.66% (

-1.73)

75.34% (

1.73)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.86% (

0.78)

28.14% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.18% (

0.98)

63.82% (

-0.99)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 27.87%

Stevenage 43.62%

Draw 28.49%

Northampton Town	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.87%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.49%	0-1 @ 13.76% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.66% Total : 43.62%