League One

League One | Gameweek 40

Apr 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Globe Arena

Morecambe
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Wildig (14'), Stockton (25')
McLaughlin (42'), Fane (47')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Taylor (3')
Williams (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Morecambe and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

Last Six:

Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Sunderland
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Shrewsbury Town	46	-4	50
19	Morecambe	46	-31	42
20	Fleetwood Town	46	-20	40

Oxford United

Last Six:

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Doncaster
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Plymouth Argyle	46	20	80
8	Oxford United	46	23	76
9	Bolton Wanderers	46	17	73

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Oxford United

Morecambe may have ended their winless run on Saturday, but they will be fully aware that Oxford will present a much stiffer test as the U's bid to clinch a playoff place. Although Morecambe will be buoyed by their victory over Burton, we think they will struggle to replicate that feat on Tuesday, and we expect Oxford to claim a league double over the Shrimps after winning 3-1 in the reverse fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Oxford United
27.28%	23.62%	49.09%

Both teams to score 58.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.01%

42.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.61%

65.39%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.94%

29.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.03%

64.97%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.35%

17.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.74%

48.26%

Score Analysis

Morecambe 27.29%

Oxford United 49.09%

Draw 23.62%

Morecambe	Draw	Oxford United
2-1 @ 6.79% 1-0 @ 6.34% 2-0 @ 3.92% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.4% Total : 27.29%	1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.62%	1-2 @ 9.53% 0-1 @ 8.9% 0-2 @ 7.71% 1-3 @ 5.51% 0-3 @ 4.46% 2-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 1.93% 2-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.77% Total : 49.09%