League One

League One | Gameweek 23

Apr 13, 2021 at 7pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
4 - 1
Shrewsbury

Atkinson (13'), Lee (36'), Taylor (66'), Long (77')
Brannagan (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Chapman (51')
Vela (64'), Norburn (74')

Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Shrewsbury Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
47.34%	28.07%	24.59%

Both teams to score 42.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.96%

62.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.23%

81.76%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.63%

26.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.48%

61.52%

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.34%

41.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.87%

78.13%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 47.34%

Shrewsbury Town 24.59%

Draw 28.06%

Oxford United	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 14.64% 2-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 8.55% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.89% Total : 47.34%	1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.06%	0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 5.62% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.23% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.18% Total : 24.59%