Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.