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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Bristol Rovers
2 - 1
Cheltenham

Collins (25'), Coburn (39')
Loft (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
May (48')
Ferry (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-4 Exeter
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Cheltenham
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Cheltenham Town

 There are only three points between these two teams in the league table, and we are expecting it to be a close match on New Year's Day. Both managers will be keen not to lose, which could create a cagey affair, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 53.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawCheltenham Town
53.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.49% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 50.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.98% (0.0020000000000024 0)51.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12%72.89% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)19.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)50.82% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.52% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)74.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 53.12%
    Cheltenham Town 22.39%
    Draw 24.48%
Bristol RoversDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.3%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.12%
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 22.39%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham

Bristol Rovers
70.6%
Draw
23.5%
Cheltenham Town
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
1-4
Bristol Rovers
Sercombe (54' pen.)
Collins (15', 45+2'), Evans (23'), Thomas (42')
Gibson (71')
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Bristol Rovers
2-0
Cheltenham
Nicholson (61'), Saunders (70')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Cheltenham

Baldwin (88')
May (58'), Vassell (71')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Cheltenham
Smith (38', 49'), Clarke-Harris (67')

Thomas (45')
Feb 11, 2014 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Cheltenham
O'Toole (33')

Ihiekwe (33'), Jombati (58')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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