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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Bristol Rovers
2 - 1
Cheltenham

Collins (25'), Coburn (39')
Loft (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
May (48')
Ferry (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Cheltenham Town

There are only three points between these two teams in the league table, and we are expecting it to be a close match on New Year's Day. Both managers will be keen not to lose, which could create a cagey affair, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 53.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawCheltenham Town
53.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.49% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 50.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.98% (0.0020000000000024 0)51.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12%72.89% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)19.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)50.82% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.52% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)74.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 53.12%
    Cheltenham Town 22.39%
    Draw 24.48%
Bristol RoversDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.3%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.12%
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 22.39%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham

Bristol Rovers
70.6%
Draw
23.5%
Cheltenham Town
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
1-4
Bristol Rovers
Sercombe (54' pen.)
Collins (15', 45+2'), Evans (23'), Thomas (42')
Gibson (71')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Cheltenham

Baldwin (88')
May (58'), Vassell (71')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Cheltenham
Smith (38', 49'), Clarke-Harris (67')

Thomas (45')
Feb 11, 2014 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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