We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Cheltenham Town
There are only three points between these two teams in the league table, and we are expecting it to be a close match on New Year's Day. Both managers will be keen not to lose, which could create a cagey affair, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw in this contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 53.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 22.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.