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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
45.39% ( 1.3) | 26.48% ( 0.16) | 28.13% ( -1.46) |
Both teams to score 49.89% ( -1.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.54% ( -1.33) | 54.46% ( 1.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.17% ( -1.12) | 75.83% ( 1.12) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.08% ( 0.05) | 23.92% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.86% ( 0.07) | 58.14% ( -0.06) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.57% ( -1.81) | 34.43% ( 1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.86% ( -1.98) | 71.13% ( 1.98) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.38% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.22% Total : 28.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |