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League One
Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Port Vale

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Port Vale

Mata (28'), Udoh (48')
Winchester (43'), Perry (45+2'), Bennett (56'), Anderson (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Garrity (57')
Ojo (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Blackpool 4-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Shrewsbury Town 3-1 Port Vale

 Shrewsbury may have suffered a disappointing defeat in their away meeting with Blackpool, but after winning five of their last six competitive home matches, we think that they will get the job done against Port Vale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawPort Vale
39.41% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 26.01% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 34.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.98% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.59% (0.024000000000001 0.02)50.41% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.65% (0.02 0.02)72.34% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (0.029000000000011 0.03)25.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (0.036999999999999 0.04)59.84% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 39.41%
    Port Vale 34.57%
    Draw 26.01%
Shrewsbury TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 39.41%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.57%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Shrewsbury
3-2
Port Vale
Dunkley (27'), Leahy (33'), Phillips (43')
Politic (13'), Proctor (52')
> Preview
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Shrewsbury
0-4
Port Vale
Politic (15', 56', 57'), Walker (74')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Port Vale
2-1
Shrewsbury
Harrison (9', 90+1')
Saydee (19')
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Port Vale
2-1
Shrewsbury
Amoo (63' pen.), Archer (75')
Kennedy (27' og.)
Love (69')
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Port Vale
1-1
Shrewsbury
 Port Vale win 4-3 on penalties
Pope (83')
Gibbons (51'), Rawlinson (60')
Sears (63')
Rowland (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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