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League One
Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Port Vale

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Port Vale

Mata (28'), Udoh (48')
Winchester (43'), Perry (45+2'), Bennett (56'), Anderson (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Garrity (57')
Ojo (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Blackpool 4-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Shrewsbury Town 3-1 Port Vale

 Shrewsbury may have suffered a disappointing defeat in their away meeting with Blackpool, but after winning five of their last six competitive home matches, we think that they will get the job done against Port Vale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawPort Vale
39.41% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 26.01% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 34.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.98% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.59% (0.024000000000001 0.02)50.41% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.65% (0.02 0.02)72.34% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (0.029000000000011 0.03)25.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (0.036999999999999 0.04)59.84% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 39.41%
    Port Vale 34.57%
    Draw 26.01%
Shrewsbury TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 39.41%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.57%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Shrewsbury
3-2
Port Vale
Dunkley (27'), Leahy (33'), Phillips (43')
Politic (13'), Proctor (52')
> Preview
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Shrewsbury
0-4
Port Vale
Politic (15', 56', 57'), Walker (74')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Port Vale
2-1
Shrewsbury
Harrison (9', 90+1')
Saydee (19')
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Port Vale
2-1
Shrewsbury
Amoo (63' pen.), Archer (75')
Kennedy (27' og.)
Love (69')
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Port Vale
1-1
Shrewsbury
 Port Vale win 4-3 on penalties
Pope (83')
Gibbons (51'), Rawlinson (60')
Sears (63')
Rowland (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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