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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Port Vale

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Port Vale

Mata (28'), Udoh (48')
Winchester (43'), Perry (45+2'), Bennett (56'), Anderson (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Garrity (57')
Ojo (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Shrewsbury Town 3-1 Port Vale

Shrewsbury may have suffered a disappointing defeat in their away meeting with Blackpool, but after winning five of their last six competitive home matches, we think that they will get the job done against Port Vale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawPort Vale
39.41% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 26.01% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 34.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.98% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.59% (0.024000000000001 0.02)50.41% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.65% (0.02 0.02)72.34% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (0.029000000000011 0.03)25.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (0.036999999999999 0.04)59.84% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 39.41%
    Port Vale 34.57%
    Draw 26.01%
Shrewsbury TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 39.41%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.57%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Shrewsbury
3-2
Port Vale
Dunkley (27'), Leahy (33'), Phillips (43')
Politic (13'), Proctor (52')
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Shrewsbury
0-4
Port Vale
Politic (15', 56', 57'), Walker (74')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Port Vale
2-1
Shrewsbury
Harrison (9', 90+1')
Saydee (19')
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Port Vale
2-1
Shrewsbury
Amoo (63' pen.), Archer (75')
Kennedy (27' og.)
Love (69')
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Port Vale
1-1
Shrewsbury
Port Vale win 4-3 on penalties
Pope (83')
Gibbons (51'), Rawlinson (60')
Sears (63')
Rowland (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101


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