League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale1 - 0Morecambe
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
We said: Port Vale 1-0 Morecambe
Port Vale may have lost their last two games, but they have won their previous two home matches, and we think that they will claim a narrow victory when they face a Morecambe side, who have failed to win any of their last 10 games in all competitions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 15.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Morecambe |
61.34% ( 0.02) | 23.19% ( -0.01) | 15.47% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.93% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
