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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Fleetwood


Oshilaja (19')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Macadam (34')
Warrington (21'), Vela (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 2-2 Fleetwood Town

With Burton Albion recently finding a hunger for goals, they will more than likely find the scoresheet in this game. Tight games have been the order of the day for Fleetwood and there is not enough evidence to suggest that will change, which is why a draw is a likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawFleetwood Town
35.19% (3.211 3.21) 25.93% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 38.88% (-3.109 -3.11)
Both teams to score 54.35% (1.137 1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (1.101 1.1)49.98% (-1.097 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (0.974 0.97)71.96% (-0.968 -0.97)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (2.575 2.58)27.32% (-2.57 -2.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.24% (3.222 3.22)62.77% (-3.216 -3.22)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (-1.119 -1.12)25.22% (1.124 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (-1.569 -1.57)59.97% (1.574 1.57)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 35.19%
    Fleetwood Town 38.88%
    Draw 25.93%
Burton AlbionDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.243 0.24)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.516 0.52)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.549 0.55)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.447 0.45)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.395 0.4)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.239 0.24)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.212 0.21)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 35.19%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.313 -0.31)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.185 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.749 -0.75)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.325 -0.33)
0-2 @ 6.54% (-0.756 -0.76)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.283 -0.28)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.458 -0.46)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.88%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Fleetwood

Burton Albion
46.7%
Draw
26.7%
Fleetwood Town
26.7%
15
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Burton Albion
3-2
Fleetwood
Niasse (61', 90'), Moult (84')
Hamer (37')
Oshilaja (18' og.), Butterworth (57')
Nsiala (14'), Garner (36')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Burton Albion
5-2
Fleetwood
Akins (35'), Powell (39'), Hamer (73'), Hemmings (85', 90+5')
Earl (27'), Hemmings (74'), Taylor (78')
Finley (62'), Rossiter (90+2')
Biggins (45+4')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Fleetwood
2-1
Burton Albion
Camps (18'), Madden (79')
Burns (19'), Whelan (84')
Brayford (66')
Bostwick (70')
O'Toole (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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