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League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Cambridge United

Northampton
0 - 0
Cambridge

FT

Lavery (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Cambridge United

A closely-fought contest between two teams keen to swiftly return to winning ways could be in store on Saturday. Playing at Sixfields may give Northampton a slight psychological edge, but we feel that Cambridge will do just enough to grind out a draw on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
48.7% (0.175 0.17) 23.98% (-0.115 -0.11) 27.32% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.34 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.41% (0.47 0.47)44.59% (-0.468 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.04% (0.45399999999999 0.45)66.96% (-0.45100000000001 -0.45)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58% (0.25200000000001 0.25)18.42% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.42% (0.425 0.42)49.58% (-0.423 -0.42)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14% (0.202 0.2)29.86% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (0.242 0.24)65.95% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 48.7%
    Cambridge United 27.32%
    Draw 23.98%
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 48.7%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 27.32%

How you voted: Northampton vs Cambridge

Northampton Town
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Cambridge United
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Cambridge
1-1
Northampton
Kachunga (16')
Digby (81')
Guthrie (82')
Brady (82')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
2-1
Cambridge
Bowie (49'), Hoskins (55')
McWilliams (42')
Ahadme (77')
Brophy (39'), Digby (79'), Andrew (90')
Digby (80')
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Cambridge
3-1
Northampton
Knibbs (13'), Smith (40'), Worman (48')
Rose (75')
McGowan (82')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Northampton
2-2
Cambridge
Etete (6'), Lewis (35')
Horsfall (12'), McWilliams (87')
Smith (14'), Masterson (66')
Smith (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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