Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.