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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 13
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Exeter City

Bristol Rovers
0 - 1
Exeter


Evans (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cox (12')
Cole (77'), Wildschut (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Exeter City

With both teams struggling for confidence, we think that Tuesday's encounter could prove to be a cagey contest, where the two sides may have to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
51.65% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21) 24.17% (0.061 0.06) 24.18% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 53.61% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.106 -0.11)47.96% (0.11000000000001 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.87% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)70.13% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (-0.119 -0.12)18.56% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.19% (-0.203 -0.2)49.81% (0.209 0.21)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82% (0.076999999999998 0.08)34.18% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13% (0.081 0.08)70.87% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 51.65%
    Exeter City 24.18%
    Draw 24.16%
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.65%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.16% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 24.18%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Exeter

Bristol Rovers
52.9%
Draw
29.4%
Exeter City
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Bristol Rovers
3-4
Exeter
Collins (57'), Coburn (64'), Sinclair (74' pen.)
Nombe (13', 90+2'), Collins (45+2'), Dieng (85')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Exeter
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Brown (72' pen.), Nombe (82')
Marquis (63'), Loft (90+2')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Exeter
Hoole (10')
Brown (24')
Grounds (90')
Nov 10, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Exeter
5-3
Bristol Rovers
Coley (2', 44'), Dieng (4'), Amond (12', 38')
Sweeney (76'), Daniel (90+2')
Westbrooke (61'), Jones (72'), Anderton (88')
Martinez (24'), Jones (74'), Mbuenimo (81')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Exeter
4-1
Bristol Rovers
Jay (3', 15'), Dieng (22'), Kite (24')
Edwards (87')
Finley (70')
Baldwin (24'), Finley (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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