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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Stevenage

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Stevenage

Lane (12'), Bishop (33')
Pack (62'), Rafferty (86'), Norris (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Thompson (26')
Thompson (11'), Sweeney (35'), Freeman (42'), Roberts (57'), Piergianni (72'), Thompson (88')
Thompson (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Portsmouth
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Stevenage

The two sides played out a goalless affair when they met at the Lamex Stadium in August, and with Portsmouth experiencing a dip in form, we think that they could be held to another draw in their first outing of the new year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawStevenage
48.68% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 24.44% (0.0019999999999989 0) 26.87% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.31% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06% (0.0020000000000024 0)46.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.81%69.19%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)51.12% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.19% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.81% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 48.68%
    Stevenage 26.87%
    Draw 24.44%
PortsmouthDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 9.5%
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.08%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 26.87%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Stevenage

Portsmouth
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Stevenage
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stevenage
0-0
Portsmouth
Thompson (22'), Raynor (23'), Reid (62'), List (90+10'), Ashby-Hammond (90+8')
Forster-Caskey (55')
Whyte (44'), Kamara (69'), Swanson (90+11'), Swanson (90+11')
Rafferty (56')
Dec 13, 2022 7pm
Third Round
Portsmouth
3-0
Stevenage
Mingi (37'), Koroma (59'), Pigott (90+4')
Aug 29, 2020 3pm
First Round
Stevenage
3-3
Portsmouth
Portsmouth win 3-1 on penalties
List (9'), Carter (10'), Cuthbert (29')
Curtis (21'), Evans (45+2' pen.), Marquis (51')
Evans (44')
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Stevenage
3-0
Portsmouth
King (16'), Godden (28'), McAnuff (46')
Wilkinson (34'), Pett (45'), Gorman (85'), Franks (86')

Stevens (27'), Burgess (31'), Baker (54')
Burgess (75')
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
Stevenage
Smith (80')
Smith (73'), Evans (91')
Schumacher (71'), Godden (75')
Gorman (39'), Wilkinson (45'), King (94')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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