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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 24.05% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
52.91% ( -0.54) | 23.03% ( 0.23) | 24.05% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 57.18% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.84% ( -0.71) | 43.15% ( 0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.45% ( -0.7) | 65.55% ( 0.71) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.69% ( -0.44) | 16.31% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.11% ( -0.81) | 45.89% ( 0.81) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.32% ( -0.13) | 31.68% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.91% ( -0.14) | 68.09% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.34% Total : 52.91% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 24.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Wrexham | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 17 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
6 | Blackpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 15 |
7 | Barnsley | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
9 | Stevenage | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Exeter CityExeter | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Reading | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
15 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 11 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |