League One

League One | Gameweek 31

Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
0 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Diabate (45')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Aguilera (15')
Wilson (17'), Hunt (64'), Crama (80')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers' matches are usually high scoring, and with Exeter rediscovering some decent form since returning to winning ways on Boxing Day, we see no reason why this meeting would be any different. Exeter defeated the Gas very recently in a rescheduled fixture, but we can envisage the visitors gaining some revenge after putting in a good performance when beating Oxford last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Bristol Rovers
40.53% ( 0.83)	25.15% ( 0.12)	34.32% ( -0.95)

Both teams to score 56.89% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.36% (

-0.72)

46.64% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.09% (

-0.68)

68.9% (

0.68)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.13% (

0.1)

22.87% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.38% (

0.14)

56.62% (

-0.14)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76% (

-0.89)

26.24% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.65% (

-1.21)

61.35% (

1.21)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 40.53%

Bristol Rovers 34.32%

Draw 25.14%

Exeter City	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 40.53%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.28% Total : 34.32%