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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 30
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Oxford United

Bristol Rovers
3 - 1
Oxford Utd

Martin (16'), Thomas (22'), Vale (77')
Wilson (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Harris (58')
Stevens (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Oxford United

Bristol Rovers are enduring a wretched run of form but have the opportunity to put things right quickly this weekend, although the visit of Oxford will be a tough assignment. The U's need a win to keep the playoff-chasing pack at arm's length, and we feel that Des Buckingham's men will be able to secure three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawOxford United
40.15% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 35.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 59.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (0.0010000000000048 0)43.73% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)66.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.79% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45% (0.0030000000000001 0)55% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68%24.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)58.69%
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 40.15%
    Oxford United 35.3%
    Draw 24.55%
Bristol RoversDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 8.7%
1-0 @ 8.07%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 40.15%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 35.3%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Oxford Utd

Bristol Rovers
33.3%
Draw
14.3%
Oxford United
52.4%
21
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 12
Oxford Utd
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Bodin (13'), Long (81')
Brannagan (15'), Moore (46'), Smyth (90')
Smyth (90+5'), Mills (90+6')
Collins (89')
Barton (16'), Martin (48'), Brown (57'), Finley (78')
Brown (63')
Feb 25, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 34
Oxford Utd
0-3
Bristol Rovers
Sinclair (22' pen.), Collins (28'), Hoole (75')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Oxford Utd
Marquis (34')
Saunders (65'), Grant (90+2')

Seddon (29'), Moore (40'), Brannagan (90+3')
Nov 16, 2021 7pm
First Round Replays
Bristol Rovers
4-3
Oxford Utd
Finley (48'), Spence (110', 118'), Collins (115')
Evans (50'), Spence (107')
Taylor (57' pen.), Bodin (91'), Seddon (93')
Kane (4'), Bodin (38')
Nov 7, 2021 1pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Taylor (11'), McGuane (51')
Taylor (32')
Finley (45+2'), Evans (87' pen.)
Finley (33'), Coutts (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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