Bristol Rovers are enduring a wretched run of form but have the opportunity to put things right quickly this weekend, although the visit of Oxford will be a tough assignment.
The U's need a win to keep the playoff-chasing pack at arm's length, and we feel that Des Buckingham's men will be able to secure three points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
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