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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 24.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
49.6% ( -4.47) | 25.88% ( 1.52) | 24.52% ( 2.95) |
Both teams to score 48.75% ( -1.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.48% ( -3.11) | 54.52% ( 3.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.13% ( -2.65) | 75.87% ( 2.66) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.99% ( -3.08) | 22.01% ( 3.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.67% ( -4.88) | 55.33% ( 4.89) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.51% ( 1.06) | 37.49% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.73% ( 1.02) | 74.27% ( -1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.65) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.84) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.67) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.53) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.45) Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.6% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.68) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.95) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 1.14) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.66) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.25) Other @ 1.68% Total : 24.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |